Emkay Global has revised its rating on One97 Communications, parent of Paytm, from 'add' to 'buy', increasing the target price to Rs 1,050, reflecting a positive investor outlook and potential for profitability by fiscal year 2026.
In a significant development for investors, Emkay Global has upgraded its rating on One97 Communications, the parent company of Paytm, boosting the stock to a 'buy' from an earlier 'add' stance. This adjustment was accompanied by a substantial 40% increase in the target price, setting it at Rs 1,050, up from Rs 750. This new target suggests a promising upside of over 13% from the current trading levels, even though it falls short of Paytm's peak price of Rs 1,062.95 recorded on December 17 of the previous year.

Following this upgrade, shares of One97 Communications experienced a notable surge, climbing as much as 8% to reach Rs 926.95 on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). This rise reflects the market's optimistic response to the brokerage firm's revised outlook. Despite a recent 20% dip from its peak, Emkay Global views Paytm's valuation as appealing, citing the stock's potential for growth and profitability.
Paytm's Path to Profitability and Regulatory Milestones
Emkay Global's positive reassessment is partly due to eased regulatory concerns following recent approvals from the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI). Such developments are anticipated to bolster Paytm's efforts in expanding its Monthly Transacting Users (MTU) over the next 12 to 18 months. The brokerage firm also sees these regulatory milestones as pivotal for Paytm, enabling it to offer a broader range of financial products to its users, including loans, insurance, and wealth management services. This diversification is expected to significantly increase revenue per user.
Moreover, Paytm's financial outlook seems promising, with Emkay projecting the company to achieve profitability by the fiscal year 2026, and foreseeing potential growth beyond that period. The firm highlighted Paytm's Cash-to-Market Cap ratio at 21%, showcasing a strong safety margin when compared to industry counterparts such as Zomato. Emkay also anticipates further positive catalysts, including additional regulatory approvals that could further bolster Paytm's market position.
Analysts' Views and Market Performance
Data from Trendlyne shows that opinions on Paytm among analysts vary, with six recommending a 'buy', another six advising to 'hold', and five suggesting a 'sell'. Despite the upgrade and the subsequent stock rally, Paytm's share price still trails significantly behind its IPO price of Rs 2,150, remaining 60% lower. However, even with Emkay's target price indicating a 51% discount from the IPO level, the firm's outlook for Paytm seems cautiously optimistic.
Shares of Paytm had already seen a 4.5% increase, closing at Rs 858.25 on Wednesday, before Thursday's significant jump. This movement underscores the fluctuating sentiment in the market and highlights the potential impacts of brokerage upgrades on stock valuations.
In conclusion, the revised rating and target price from Emkay Global signal a turning point for Paytm, reflecting a more favorable view of its growth trajectory and financial health. While challenges remain, particularly in reaching the IPO price levels again, the eased regulatory concerns and potential for market expansion present a brighter outlook for the digital payment giant. Emkay's projections and the subsequent market response suggest a growing confidence in Paytm's ability to navigate its path toward profitability and enhanced shareholder value.
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