
The overall GDP growth estimate was revised to 5.7 percent from the earlier 5.6 percent, largely on the back of an expected improvement in the industrial activity, even though agriculture will be a drag factor, it said in a note.
The agency said industrial growth will improve to 5.1 percent as against the earlier estimate of 4.1 percent. The industrial sector grew at 0.4 percent in FY 2013-14.
If achieved, the industrial growth will be strongest since the 7.8 percent notched up in FY12, it said, adding that factors like a 4 percent jump in factory output for the first two months of the fiscal and 4.6 percent growth in the core sector in the first quarter are pointing to the "beginning of a broad-based industrial recovery."
On the farm sector, it said the delayed and the weak monsoon will drag the agricultural growth down to 1.3 percent in FY15, as compared to the 4.7 percent achieved last fiscal.
However, on the concerns front, it said there will be a fiscal slippage in FY15 and the government will not be able to achieve its target of reducing the fiscal deficit to 4.1 percent.
"We believe both revenue and disinvestment targets are optimistic. A large part of non-plan expenditure is of committed nature and it is quite likely that the government will overshoot the budgeted targets," it explained.
It can be noted that the international rating agencies, including India Ratings' parent Fitch, have been watching work on the fiscal deficit front very closely and have repeatedly warned of adverse action on the country's sovereign rating because of the fiscal imprudence and the low growth.
The country has had two consecutive years of sub-5 percent growth and there are high expectations from the newly elected Narendra Modi government for a revival.
The current account deficit, controlled through massive measures on the imports front, will expand to 2.2 percent for the fiscal but financing the same will not be of much trouble due to high capital flows, it said.
On the currency front, it said the rupee will gain and should be trading at the 57-58 levels by the end of the fiscal.
On the price rise situation, it expects the government to intervene "timely and efficiently" in the agricultural commodity market and estimated consumer price inflation to be at 7.9 percent for FY15 as against the 9.5 percent year ago.
PTI
More From GoodReturns

New PAN Card Rules From April 1, 2026: How To Apply For New PAN Card Via Protean, E-Filing Portal?

LPG Gas Cylinder Prices Hiked Again From April 1; 19 KG LPG Gets Costlier By Rs 218; 14.2 KG LPG Unchanged

Gold Rate in India Rises Over Rs 37,000/24K in Three Days; Will Jump in Gold Price Today Continue on 31 March?

Gas Cylinder Booking Rules: 5 Things To Know For Your 14.2Kg, 19KG, 5KG, 10KG LPG Booking In April 2026

Gold Rate Today Continues Rally, 24K Jumps Over Rs 35000 in 2 Days; 22K & 18K Gold, Silver Prices in Delhi

Bank Holiday In April 2026: Banks To Be Closed For 14 Days; Good Friday, Baisakhi To Akshaya Tritiya

Gold Price Today Declines After 3-Day Surge; Check Latest 22K, 24K, 18K Gold & Silver Rates in Delhi on 2April

Gold Price Today, April 3: 22K, 24K Rates Jump Across Tanishq, Malabar, Kalyan & Joyalukkas & IBJA

5 New Shares On One Soon: Anil Agarwal's Vedanta Demerger To Take Place in April, Says Report

Fresh Drop in Gold Rate Today; Silver Stable: Latest 22K, 24K, 18K Gold & Silver Prices in Delhi on 30 March

Govt Approves PDS Kerosene Distribution in 21 States for 60 Days, Sets 5,000 L Storage Limit Amid LPG Crisis



Click it and Unblock the Notifications